Emergency surgery, intraoperative complications and ASA >2 predicted unplanned ICU admission across 75 ICUs
In this prospective study of 55,963 surgical patients across 75 ICUs, 2764 (4.9%) were planned for ICU admission, but 804 could not be admitted because of bed limits. Emergency surgery (OR 12.4), intraoperative complications (OR 3.1) and ASA >2 (OR 2.7) independently raised the risk of unplanned admission; 90-day mortality was 7.5% overall and 18.9% after emergent admission.
Why it matters. Raises the question of whether combining risk scores with intraoperative events could better target scarce postoperative ICU beds.
Limitation. Observational design in one national network; the benefit of ICU care was judged by modified Wang criteria, not tested directly.